BASE HEADER

RDS1: The Council is adopting an Interim Level of Growth of 12,300 homes between 2011 and 2029

Yn dangos sylwadau a ffurflenni 271 i 300 o 331

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59273

Derbyniwyd: 16/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Ky & Daniella Cugini

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The number of houses 'needed' are not the same as the number of houses 'proposed' and the number of houses Council is proposing should be downgraded significantly; after all, has the Council taken into consideration the fact that families like ours will consider moving OUT of the area if it continues to decimate it in this way?

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59276

Derbyniwyd: 16/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mr Charles King-Smith

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

understand the need for more houses but think the numbers in the Draft Local Plan are excessive.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59309

Derbyniwyd: 21/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mr and Mrs Freeman

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The proposed number of houses should be legally challenged immediately so that tax-payers money is not wasted on plans that are likely to be legally challenged themselves on the basis that the number of houses proposed is based on unrealistic forecasts

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59312

Derbyniwyd: 12/08/2013

Ymatebydd: Mr Stuart Oldham

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Council no longer subject to the housing growth targets set by RSS. Council is free to set its own housing target in the Local Plan, and comply with the provisions of the NPPF. Council has adopted an interim level of growth of 12,300 houses between 2011 and 2029 (683 per annum), representing an increase of 14% over that of the 2012 Preferred Options. This figure may be revised pending the findings of further joint work with Coventry City Council and the resulting co-operation with that Council. ONS data shows that net migration into the District has very much been the dominant factor in population growth over the past 15 years, and there is no reason to believe that this general trend is likely to change over the next 15 years.

Object to the RDS housing target of 12,300 on the following grounds: The case for the significant increase over the 2012 level is not adequately made in terms of both policy and evidence base; The amount is excessive (and could become even more so when revised), such that 'the adverse impacts..........would significantly and demonstrably outweigh the benefits' (NPPF, paragraph 14). 'Supply creates its own Demand' - an excessive supply of new homes will inevitably lead to an excessive in-migratory population increase. This is explicitly acknowledged by the Council's own consultants - 'It should however be recognised that past migration trends will have been influenced in part by past levels of housing delivery.' (SHMA Final Report, March 2012). Has seen this process at work very clearly in Warwick over the last ten years, the various new housing developments continually drawing in new people from outside the District.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59313

Derbyniwyd: 21/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mrs Joanna Batt

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Fully supports the idea that more housing is required nationwide, and that this must be spread across a number of counties, but the sheer number of new dwellings earmarked for development in this document is far in excess of what is requires locally, and also would irreparably damage Warwick.

Too many houses are being proposed, and in the wrong areas.

Local Plan could be improved by setting a new level of housebuilding consistent with the needs of population growth, not growth for growth's sake.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59332

Derbyniwyd: 20/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mrs Margaret Ellis

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

There has not been sufficient evidence put forward on the requirement for 12,000 new homes and there is contradictory evidence for this requirement.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59349

Derbyniwyd: 24/08/2013

Ymatebydd: Robert Pocknell

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The housing forecast is more than double what we need.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59354

Derbyniwyd: 02/08/2013

Ymatebydd: Bishop's Tachbrook Parish Council

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The 12,300 new homes proposed in the RDS, 1500 more than the number proposed in the Preferred Options consultation, is not an objective assessment based on the latest projections for the population expected by 2021 and 2029.

It is more than the number for Coventry (11,373) and this is a city currently with population of over 316,000.

Although the high number might be aspirational it is not realistic, as it is beyond the physical capacity of the usable part of the district to provide it, the infrastructure to support it and the local economy to provide related employment.

Because of the large amount of Green Belt in the district (80%) and the limited capability of the urban area to take very much more development, such a large amount of new housing is being allocated to the rural part of the district using greenfield land of equal or better value than the Green Belt.

Warwick urban area density is at least equal to or more than a densely populated city (after allowing for Green Belt Land).

This will not achieve the Strategic Vision of the Authority "to make Warwick District a great Place to Live, Work and Visit," but will be much worse at a range of levels.

The consensus within the Parish, and across the district is that this level of population growth, does not feel right.

There has been an 18% population increase over the last 20 years (1991-2011):

* Can a further 20% over the next 15 years really be required?

* Is a population growth increase from 0.9% p.a. to 1.33% really likely particularly with the current poor economic situation and a long slow recovery ahead?

* How has the district arrived at this unrealistically high growth estimate?

It is important to ensure that the evidence base is up to date in order to meet NPPF 47 requirement for the number of homes to be provided to be objectively assessed using a proper evidence base.

The NPPF, para 6 states that "The purpose of the planning system is to contribute to the achievement of sustainable development.

NPPF paras, 54 and 55 regarding housing in rural areas should be part of that objective assessment as well as NPPF 109 regarding the protection and enhancement of valued landscapes.

The current consultation plan is not sustainable as so defined and will not be accepted by the Inspector..
The proposed aggressive levels of housing growth proposed will require the loss of large areas of outstanding Warwickshire landscape previously recognised has having unique value by planning inspectors, the Council's landscape consultants, residents and visitors.

Thers is also a question of the level of housing and population growth that the district can reasonably absorb, without undermining the quality of life for those that live here and irreparably damaging the historic context of Warwick district.

In this regard, NPPF , para 10 requires "Plans and decisions need to take local circumstances into account, so that they respond to the different opportunities for achieving sustainable development in different areas."

Estimates of housing numbers for the future must be based on ONS statistical projections. [The representation sets out a detailed argument that the population estimates used for calculating the housing target are too high, in the light of 2011 census data. Since 2011, the statistical data shows a reducing population projection which is hovering around the BTPC study result of 5,400 homes.]

The analysis (based on latest ONS projections and Council's December 2012, G L Hearn Economic & Demographic Study) shows that in terms of housing numbers this reduces the ONS projection from the 2011 estimate of 12,150 homes, to the 2012 estimate of 6,500 homes, which is anticipated, if it falls in line with Hearn's estimate, to drop to about 5,970 homes.

The Public Administration Select Committee reported on 28th July 2013 that it had found ONS migration figures are "not fit for purpose". So caution must be exercised. The joint SHMA should come up with the most up to date guide.

How was the 12,300 target arrived at?:

The 12,300 homes target is not adequately explained in the RDS. The conclusion in RDS1.10 suggests that it may be due to the 2011 ONS data (12,130) but it may also have other objectives.

But for very many people in the district it is not believable.

They remember that the existing local plan was adopted in 2007 following a Public Inquiry during 2006 into objections to the proposed plan and was in accordance with the Planning & Compulsory Purchase Act 2004 when the current local plan was adopted in 2007.

The local plan, which is still up to date except where the NPPF is not in agreement with any particular policy, was adopted only 6 years ago and It settled many questions of concern for the community and setting a contract with the community.

The RDS, with its dramatic change to the size of the district and the concentration of very large amounts of new housing on land that is currently subject to Rural Area policies, is seen by many as a breach of that contract.

As a result there is much concern and indeed, anger, at the proposals being consulted on and in the way that the door has been left open by the District Council for planning applications to be made that negate the purpose of any local plan and the consultation process to establish it.

Since the Inquiry was only 6 years ago, BTPC draws attention to certain key findings of the inspector, particularly where he talks about the plan after 2011-

"This Local Plan only covers the period to 2011 in the absence of firm housing or employment figures for the period beyond. The housing figures derived from the RSS for 2011-2021 are indicative only. Nevertheless, the District Council is able to show that there is no need to identify further housing sites. (Para 11.3.8)

The balance of 2,210 dwellings to be provided between 2005 and 2021 equates to 138 dwellings per year. The District Council's estimates of windfall sites (based on past trends and emerging Local Plan policy) equate to an annual average of 282 dwellings in the urban area and 11 dwellings per year in the rural area. On the basis of these figures, I am satisfied that the District Council is justified in not identifying sites to meet the requirement to 2021. "

In paragraph 11.3.10, in respect of whether the Plan should identify a 10 or 15 year supply of housing, he finds that "New Table 5 of revised Appendix 2 shows how the residual housing requirement for the period 2005-2021 can be met. This particular objection is therefore satisfied. "

Table 5 in appendix 2 of the 2007 local plan states the following

Source
Dwellings
RSS housing requirement 2001 - 2021 8,091

Dwellings completed 2001 to 2005
3,324
R
remaining dwellings to be provided
4,767

By the end of 2011/12 the dwellings completed had increased to 6,084. Deducted from the original requirements this leaves 2,007 remaining to be provided by 2021.

If 2,007 is the plan for 10 years, then for 18 years until 2029 it might be 200x18= 3,600.

The December 2012, the Economic and Demographic Forecasts Study prepared by GL Hearn states that for the 18 year plan period a population increase of 8,500 persons is expected or 3,705 dwellings (similar to adopted plan target).This projection (which ties in with census findings - set out in submitted table) suggests an annual increase in the population of 473 people which compares with a previous estimate of 914.

Over the 20 year period 1991 2021 the District has done its part in accommodating growth- with its population growing by 21.74% as compared to 15.32% for England as a whole.

So how did 2,007 become 12,300 when it may have been expected to be about 3,600?

The 2012 Preferred Option document was based on a need for 10,800 homes.

Understand that 87% of respondents considered this to be too high. The RDS 4.1.1 describes it as an interim level of growth dependent on the joint SHMA. This should also take into account employment need.

When plan-making, NPPF, para 155 requires "Early and meaningful engagement and collaboration with neighbourhoods, local organisations and businesses is essential. A wide section of the community should be proactively engaged, so that Local Plans, as far as possible, reflect a collective vision and a set of agreed priorities for the sustainable development of the area, including those contained in any neighbourhood plans that have been made."

A wide section of the community is engaged and would wish that it was proactively so. But this requires a listening district council.

Homes and jobs go hand in hand:

NPPF, para 156. States Local planning authorities should set out the strategic priorities for the area in the Local Plan. This should include strategic policies to deliver the homes and jobs needed in the area.


* Why are significant new jobs required when unemployment in the District is low (1.6% of the working population claiming Job Seekers Allowance June 2013 )

* The District has a jobs density of 0.95 - this means that for every person of working age (16-64) living in the District there are 0.95 jobs in the District.

* (significantly above average for the West Midlands or England (0.75 and 0.78 respectively). "Overall there is a relatively good jobs-homes balance currently." (source: December 2012, the Economic and Demographic Forecasts Study)

* Until the joint SHMA is received, the 12,300 household cannot be considered as a valid consultation.

* Across the neighbouring authorities, jobs ought to follow unemployment so far as it is sensible to do.

* Since Warwick District's unemployment count is very low, and job availability is still very fragile, building a larger volume of homes than ever done before does not seem to be a good strategy.

* It could result in a dramatic employment problem.
* Unemployment is significantly higher in other parts of Warwick (detailed figures given) .New jobs in the region should be directed towards these more deprived areas.

* must not go down the same road as Coventry by getting incomers living here and then hope new jobs will be generated. That is not a good plan
* concerned by a statement made by a Warwick District Council planning officer at the Planning Committee Meeting on 23rd July referring to planning application W0607 that house building is a good thing because it generates jobs in construction.

Employment in construction is a good thing (but is temporary), but it cannot be a justification for approving unnecessary house building

* Even if the Coventry gateway development is approved it would only produce about 1,270 jobs for Warwick district residents and some of those may not be new jobs, just a transfer of location.

* If 5,400 homes are built approximately 10,000 jobs will still be needed and that is at a time when whilst may have the employees, we may have the land, but we still need the employers

Duty to Cooperate

The Inspector Examining of the Coventry Local Development Plan - Core Strategy found Coventry Council had not engaged constructively with neighbouring local planning authorities on the strategic matter of the number of houses proposed in the Plan and consequently it has not sought to maximise the effectiveness of the plan making process.

Coventry had a Core Strategy which made provision for some 33,500 dwellings (of which 3,500 would have been in in Warwick?).

That plan was withdrawn and a new plan( now being examined) made with a provision for 11,373 houses - a significant reduction in housing numbers. (para 5 of the report). Was this 3,500 in Warwick included in the then 10,800 consultation exercise? If so, it was not obvious in the consultation documents.

In the "Statement of Common Ground and Cooperation for the Coventry, Solihull and Warwickshire Sub-Region (SOCG)":

(para 4.2)current evidence shows that all member authorities are capable of meeting their housing requirements within their borders and there is no requirement for any local authority to meet any part of its housing requirements in another area.;

(Para 4.3) local planning authorities in the sub-region will continue to plan to accommodate their own needs. However, if an authority cannot accommodate its own needs (because of an increased housing requirement and because of strong evidence of constraints on the provision of housing sites within its boundaries) then, and only then, would the shortfall be addressed through discussions with neighbouring authorities within and beyond the sub-region.

* Since the outcome of this situation was indeterminate, the Duty to cooperate was not demonstrated;

* This housing arrangement did not take into account employment need;
* if there was an initial inclusion of 3,500 housing in the Warwick target to serve Coventry and this remains in the 12,300 then it should be removed to comply with the SOCG agreement.

Coventry may be correct to limit their increased housing requirement because they already have a housing/ jobs imbalance and it would also reduce the risk of not being able to make their provision within their boundary.

An essential part of the joint SHMA consideration should be to establish the capacity of each area to meet its own need and limit expansion to that capacity.

All the more important to make a realistic assessment of need rather than an aspirational assessment that cannot be made to work.

Stratford has recently announced a new Gaydon development to serve JLR. This will have a significant effect on Warwick district and will reduce demand on it for housing but will be the nearest centre for shopping and other services.

Stratford are not in the SHMA and do not seem to have cooperated with its neighbours. It would seem that there is a danger that when their plan is examined, it will be similarly rejected.

The same could happen to our plan, even though attempts were made to cooperate.

Housing Land Supply:

The May 2013 HLS document uses the current consultation figure of 12,300 which is not substantiated by the joint SHMA yet and the consultation is not yet ended.

Therefore, 10,800 is the figure that has been consulted on and this was objected to by 87% of the respondents.

BTPC's calculation shows that the objectively assessed requirement for the locality is 5,400. This gives 3 options in terms of accommodating the housing increase.

A detailed table at para 3.1 of representation sets out site allocations for the plan period 2011-2029. The table sets out a range of options for meeting the housing land requirement for various range of housing targets including the RDS target, and suggests alternative housing supply solutions.

The option with the maximum support of the community, provides the level of new homes that will be needed , and is achievable in the time scales available as follows:

* Column D is an option for 5,400;
* It omits Kenilworth and Redhouse Farm, Green Belt sites;
* It omits Myton gardens, East of Whitnash and all greenfield sites;
* It reduces villages to 300 across all villages;
* It reduces windfall allowance to 2,150;
* It reduces the requirement for vacant dwelling return to 250 over the 18 year period;
* It omits Old Town regeneration & Warwick Town regeneration.

5 Year Housing Supply:

The June 2013- 5 year housing land supply shows that the District does not have supply of available and developable land identified.

Of 12,300 said to be required, the 5 year supply is calculated as 4,550 giving a 2.8 year supply. This is not in compliance with NPPF requirements in respect to demonstrating a 5 year land supply (para 49).

It is essential to choose a strategy that the district can justify and which provides the 5year supply required. BTPC has found that:

a. The calculation of the 5year supply required for 12,300 is incorrect ; and

b. If the 12,300 option is chosen, not only is it way beyond that which an objectively assessed need requires, it is almost impossible to ever get a 5 year supply because of the time allowed for implementation.

The 5 year housing Land Supply for each of 3 options (12,300, 10,800, 5,400 dwellings)is shown in detailed table at para 4.4 of the representation.

It is concluded that if the correct actions are taken ( as set out in the representation) then the 12,300 option still does not give a 5 year supply whereas both the 10,800 and 5,400 options do give a 5.11 and 10.69 year housing land supply.

In order to protect the District's ability to produce a plan-led Local Plan by complying with NPPF49, the 5 year plan should be brought up to date without delay.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59372

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mr Trevor McCann

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

"Meeting housing needs" (para 3.5) has not been adequately justified.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59393

Derbyniwyd: 06/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Veronica Chapman

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The Warwick area does need and cannot cope with the amount of new homes that the council are proposing. Urges the council to review their figures and to adopt a plan for fewer homes which can be accommodated on non Green Belt sites.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59541

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Stephen Ray

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The housing targets proposed for the plan are excessive. They are well in excess of the needs of the district for the next fifteen years and seem to represent a decision by the Council to go for growth without any mandate from the local community and will be ruinous for Warwick.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59609

Derbyniwyd: 26/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mr Chris Braithwaite

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Queries number of new homes needed across the district, Ray Bullens paper based on the 2011 census reaches a natural growth figure of 5400 and Warwick District's own consultants PROJ5 option arrived at 4405. Queries figure for Bishops Tachbrook when the housing need survey identified a need for 14 homes a mixed development of 25 to 30 homes could provide 10 affordable homes

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59647

Derbyniwyd: 19/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mrs Christine Stanford

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Why is the District Council proposing 12,000 houses when the need is 6,000?

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59849

Derbyniwyd: 26/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Dr. Veronica Hyland

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The projected housing need for 12,300 new build homes is much too high.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59858

Derbyniwyd: 30/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mr Steve Halliday

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

2. Excessive amount of developments put forward - 6,630 put forward actual figure 12,300
3. Excessive percentage of social housing - 50%

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59859

Derbyniwyd: 24/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mr Peter White

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

I do not believe that the Council need to build so many houses.

I am amazed that the Council are so concerned about building so many new houses with only vague expectations and requirements from Central Government.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59869

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mr Michael Wardle

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Question whether there is the need for so many houses to be built. Are there local properties in the area that need refurbishing or rebuilding? This will encourage people to move into the area which then leaves empty properties from where they have moved.

Houses mean more people - more employment needed, more schools, surgeries, facilties etc. Has anyone researched the financial implications of this project?

Building more houses would have a huge disruptive impact on the already congested roads.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 59975

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Mr Trevor E Wood

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

To plan for hoousing to the year 2029 is too far ahead as the national economic situation can change considerably over such a period. No one can possibly predict accurately what will happen over that period of time.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60003

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Ms Margaret Middleton

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

It is difficult to understand where this national over-estimation of growth requirements has come from. Most recent Census data coupled with research from GL Hearn has put the figure at 6630. Bishops Tachbrook identified its own local need as 14 homes, far fewer than the 100-150 specified in the RDS.Of the proposed number of 4550 new houses to be built south of Leamington and Warwick a huge concentration of 2000 are planned south of Harbury Lane and a further 100 on Myton Gardens (an Area of Restraint). The proposals are not supported by the public, cross boundary needs have not been assessed and the intended development at Lighthorne Heath wil put further strain on local services.The impact of the new houses will put strain on the trafic/ highway network as well as schools and police services/ functions. The development will cause a loss of quality agricultural land. The proposed Country Park is an irrelevance that will do nothing to ease local opposition / concerns. The land being proposed for development should also be defended in line with the outcomes of the Richard Morrish Landscape Assessment.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60055

Derbyniwyd: 19/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Jennifer Sheard

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

There is little evidence to support the production of the total overall requirement of over 12,000 houses in the overall Local Plan.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60174

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: The Community Group

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

WDC projections provide space for 10,200 new jobs to be created. Warwick District has a low unemployment claimant count of less than 1,500 people.

Therefore, in order to fill these employment places, it will be necessary to import people from outside the District.

This in turn results in equally inflated housing requirements in order to accommodate these expected immigrants to the District. Housing numbers in the RDS have risen from 10,800 to 12,300 dwellings where natural growth within the District would require only 5,400. This is not planning for the objectively assessed needs of the District and it is therefore unsound.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60176

Derbyniwyd: 28/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Crest Strategic Projects

Asiant : d2planning

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Objects to this policy on the basis that the overall housing provision does not meet the identified housing requirements set out in the evidence base.

This level of growth is insufficient as it is lower than the evidence in the SHMA as well as recent household projections.

The is not complete given that the joint Strategic Housing Market Assessment is not finalised.

Agree with the general premis, that there is a direct relationship between new jobs in the District and the demand for new houses.

It is however necessary to adopt an as realistic approach as possible. Given the location of the District i.e. close to the large employment centres of Solihull, Coventry and Birmingham, there inevitably will be a demand for housing in the District from people who work outside the District.

SHMA

The SHMA indicates that the annual need for affordable housing will be 698 dwellings per annum.

This exceeds the preferred option for housing growth and more importantly only addresses the affordable housing need, not the need for open market housing which will largely provide the affordable housing.

The SHMA does not address what the market need will be in the District in addition to the affordable need.

Accordingly the SHMA does not satisfy the requirements of paragraphs 159 of the NPPF.

The SHMA needs to set out what the quantity of need is for both market housing and affordable housing for the plan period.

At present the preferred option does not explain why it is disputing the evidence of need in the SHMA.

Household Projections

The plan makes reference to the interim 2011 based population projections.

However these are incomplete and so the 2008 based projections are at present the most reliable source until more up to date population projections are published and are complete.

The 2008 based household projections indicate an increase of 13,000 households in the period from 64,000 in 2013 to 77,000 in 2028 9 (roughly comparable to the proposed plan period)

The Council may find that economic growth and housing demand are stronger than expected and the plan (in accordance with NPPF)will need to have the flexibility to respond to rising demand - something at present it does not have.

Housing demand is not solely related to employment prospects.

The District will experience continued inward migration from affluent households who work elsewhere e.g. Birmingham, Coventry etc.

The Council will need to cater for these requirements but also increase the overall level of supply in order to deal with those on low to medium incomes so that they are not priced out of the market by affluent incomers.

Relying on the recession would be contrary to the Government's 'Policy for Growth Agenda' which requires the planning process to deliver increased levels of growth.

Duty to Cooperate
If the Council is unable to meet its objectively assessed housing need through its plan, it will need to plan to ensure that these needs can be met elsewhere within the District.

To do so, it will need to plan, in tandem, with other Councils.

The draft Local Plan makes no reference to this issue.

Other adjoining Authorities are progressing plans which do not meet all of their own objectively assessed housing needs e.g. Solihull and Stratford.

In addition Coventry are at the early stages of preparing their Local Plans and have commenced a Joint Strategic Housing Market Assessment.

Providing part of Coventry's housing requirement in Warwick District has previously been proposed. The RSS preferred option identified 3,500 dwellings adjacent to Coventry but located within Warwick District, and necessitating a green belt review.

The land owned by Crest at Westwood Heath is ideally placed to meet these requirements because:

i) The Coventry Joint Green Belt Review identified the site is one of the least constrained proposals of land to the south of Coventry which could potentially be released from the Green Belt;

ii) The SHLAA has assessed the site's potential and concluded that: "Potentially suitable in part only (18.5 hectares) excluding southern extensions to the site which could impact upon potential SINCS. Any development would be subject to satisfactory measures to mitigate against impact on areas of high landscape value."

iii) The Strategic Transport Study concluded that development in the Westward Heath Road area has minimal impact on the surrounding road network.

iv) The site is not within an area liable to flooding.

v) The site lies in a highly sustainable location next to the University of Warwick, employment operators and good public transport linkages; and.

vi) The High Speed Two Rail Link route would cross to the south of the site which would potentially provide a further defensible boundary.

if some adjoining Authorities e.g. Coventry City are not proposing to meet all of their own identified requirement then it is unlikely that they will accommodate any of Warwick's . unmet need.

This is an issue that needs to be resolved before the Examination.

Recommendations

The level of housing provision needs to be assessed against updated strategic housing market assessment.

The level of housing provision needs to be increased and sites identified/released from the green belt to be able to accommodate Coventry's future housing requirement e.g. land at Westwood Heath Road.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60186

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Lone Star Land LLP

Asiant : Alliance Environment & Planning Ltd

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Level of Housing Growth:

RDSl confirms that "the Council is adopting an Interim Level of Growth of 12,300 homes between 2011 and 2029".

It is noted that this figure is based upon the findings of the latest ONS projections (11,500) plus a local growth rate of 2.4%.

It is considered that the Council has placed an over reliance upon this figure which will be subject to change once the findings of the joint Strategic Housing Market Assessment have been published.

Once published, the SHMA will provide a more robust profile of the Council's objectively assessed housing needs along with any unmet needs from neighbouring authorities.

In its current form therefore it is considered that the RDS is not positively prepared or effective and has not taken into consideration the full objectively assessed housing needs of the District and neighbouring authorities as required by NPPF para 47.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60193

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Gladman Developments

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The interim housing requirement being progressed through the RDS is also arbitrarily low.

There is no justification for deviating from the housing projections presented in the Council's most recent 2012 Economic and Demographic Forecasts Study. Further the Council may be ignoring the current shortfall of housing against their Regional Strategy requirements.

This historic backlog cannot just be written off.

The NPPF is clear that local planning authorities should identify and meet their full objectively assessed housing needs, informed by a SHMA that has been prepared with neighbouring authorities where housing market areas cross administrative boundaries.

The housing requirement and Core Strategy cannot be found sound if they are inconsistent with this requirement.

Until the joint SHMA has been prepared the Council cannot know what their objectively assessed housing requirement should be. Relying on an interim figure in the meantime is considered unsound.


Notwithstanding the above issues, whilst recognising that the interim requirement is an increase on the Council's Regional Strategy requirement Gladman further question the process for identifying this target and submit that it is arbitrarily low.

The 2012 Warwick SHMA set out a range of projections for future housing requirements in the District.

In December 2012 this work was updated by the Warwick and Coventry Economic and Demographic Forecasts Study to take account of a now approved major technology and business park adjacent to Coventry airport, updated economic forecasts and the 2011 Census. Housing projections from both studies are set out in Table 1 in the representation.


The Council's interim requirement does not align to any of the projections presented in its evidence.

Whilst recognising that it is an increase on the Council's Regional Strategy requirements it is noticeably lower than the economic-based housing projections prepared for the Economic and Demographic Forecasts Study, including the revised baseline economic scenario.

It appears to be predicated on 2011 ONS household and population projections and an assumed GVA rate of 2.4%.

There is no justification for the Council's decision to ignore its objectively assessed housing needs and it has not demonstrated that there would be any adverse impacts of delivering a higher housing requirement to support its full economic potential.

Housing Backlog

The under supply of housing against the RSS target of 550 dpa in Warwick District equates to a shortfall of 1,281 units for the period 2006/07-2010/11.

It is not clear from the Council's evidence or RDS whether this shortfall has been taken into account when proposing the interim housing requirement, which has a base date of 2011.

Unmet need will not just disappear and therefore it is fundamental that it is taken into account in the targets moving forwards. It cannot just be written off.

The failure to include past shortfall in housing delivery in the proposed housing target should be considered unsound.

The delivery of any shortfall should be made up as soon as possible, and in the absence of evidence to suggest a longer timescale, the shortfall should be caught up within the first 5 years of the plan.

Duty to Co-operate

Until a jointly prepared SHMA for Warwick, Coventry, Nuneaton and Bedworth has been published the Council cannot fulfil its Duty to Co-Operate requirement.

This may reveal a requirement for the Council to meet the
housing needs of these adjacent authorities, and vice versa.
The importance of complying with the Duty to Co-operate is clear from the preliminary hearings on the Coventry City Core Strategy held in December 2012.


Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60197

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Gladman Developments

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

One of NPPF key changes relates to the need to "significantly boost the supply of housing" and this should be reflected in the plan making process.

What is clear from significant experience of involvement in the Local Plan process since introduction of NPPF is that many local authorities have not fully addressed its requirements when preparing their Local Plans and this has led to significant concerns being expressed by Inspector's on the soundness of their plans in their current format.

The main concerns centre upon the requirement in the NPPF to "use their evidence base to ensure that their Local Plan meets the full, objectively assessed needs for market and affordable housing in the housing market area" (P47).

The process of undertaking an objective assessment is clearly set out in the Framework principally in P14, P47, P152 and P159 and should be undertaken in a systematic and transparent way to ensure that the plan is based on a robust evidence base.

The starting point for this assessment -to have a clear understanding of housing needs in their area -involves the preparation of a SHMA working with neighbouring authorities where housing market areas cross administrative areas.

The SHMA s[should] identify "the scale and mix of housing and the range of tenures that the local population is likely to need over the plan period which:
* Meets household and population projections taking account of migration and demographic change;

* Addresses the need for all types of housing including affordable housing and the needs of different groups in the community (such as, but not limited to, families with children, older people, people with disabilities, service families and people wishing to build their own homes); and

* Caters for housing demand and the scale of housing supply necessary to meet this demand."

Key points that are worth noting from the above is that the objective assessment should identify the full need for housing before the Council consider undertaking any process of assessing the ability to deliver this figure.

In addition,P159 specifically relates to catering for both housing need and housing demand within the authority area.

Any assessment of housing need and demand within a SHMA must also consider the following factors; falling household formation rates, net inward migration, the need to address the under provision of housing from the previous local plan period, the preliminary results of the Census 2011, housing vacancy rates including the need to factor in a 3% housing vacancy rate for churn in the housing market, economic factors to ensure that the economic forecasts for an area are supported by sufficient housing to deliver economic growth, off-setting a falling working age population by providing enough housing to ensure retiring workers can be replaced by incoming residents, addressing affordability and delivering the full need for affordable housing in an area.

A majority of the SHMAs that were prepared under the current guidance on SHMA preparation are not NPPF compliant and do not consider the full range of factors that are outlined in P159.

To avoid these issues at Examination, SHMAs should be updated to take account of the NPPF and ensure plans are based on robust and up-to-date evidence.

Indeed, the Government have noted the deficiency in SHMAs and are updating the guidance on SHMA preparation to fully reflect the guidance given in the Framework.

Following the exercise to identify the full, objectively assessed need for housing in an area, the local planning authority should then seek to undertake the assessment outlined in P152 of the Framework.

This statement clearly sets out that local planning authorities should seek to deliver the full, objectively assessed need and that this should be tested through the evidence base.

Only where the evidence shows that this is not achievable should they then test other options to see if any significant adverse impacts could be reduced or eliminated by pursuing these options.

If this is not possible then they should test if the significant adverse impacts could be mitigated and where this is not possible, where compensatory measures may be appropriate.

The final stage of the process is outlined in P14 and involves a planning judgement as to whether, following all of the stages of the process outlined above, "any adverse impacts of meeting the objectively assessed needs would significantly and demonstrably outweigh the benefits, when assessed against the policies in this framework taken as a whole or specific policies in this Framework indicate development should be restricted."

The final part of this sentence refers to footnote 9 which sets out the types of policies that the Government consider to be restrictive.

Although this list is not exhaustive it is clear that local landscape designations, intrinsic value of the countryside, the character of areas, green gaps etc are not specifically mentioned as constraints.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60205

Derbyniwyd: 29/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Margaret Hamilton

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Largely supports the views of the Warwick Deserves Better Campaign.

The revised development plan is seeking to meet the needs of hypothetical future people who may wish to come to the Warwick District and not the housing and development needs of the current population.

The logic of this approach is bizarre and can be moulded into whatever policy an official saw fit, irrespective of facts or probability.

Perhaps the approach can be summed up as the "Field of Dreams" philosophy of "build it and they will come".

Providing sustainable levels of growth:

The levels of growth envisioned are not sustainable- in that the level of infrastructure, its distribution, housing location and jobs, do not match the population growth forecast.

A 40% increase in Warwick's population over 15 years is clearly unsustainable and will cause immense, irreversible damage to the character of the County Town.

Level of Housing Growth 2011 - 2029 Level of Population Growth and demand for housing assumptions:

* The revised plan approach is not "sustainable" as set out in the NPPF.

* A realistic forecast of need would mean that the District already has the required five-year supply of sites, balancing housing with employment growth and matching the housing market.

These are flawed in the proposed revised development strategy paper, because:

* The projected housing need of 12,300 new homes to be built is much too high;

* Less than half that number would meet local needs;

* It is wrong to forecast as far into the future as 2029, and to allocate greenfield land now;

It is akin to having no plan at all, allowing uncontrolled growth, just leaving developers to decide what to build and when- as with proposals to build commercial property on St Mary Lands and housing on land designated for future employment

Recent government figures show that demand from migration is now falling, and it is stated National Government policy to greatly reduce net migration in the future. Why is WDC planning for an even greater level of growth over the next 15 years.

* The impact of a prolonged recession which the Prime Minister says could last another decade, will impact on the ability of individuals to afford housing;

* Illustrated by the rapidly rising age of first time buyers and the profound demographic change since 2008 in more young adults living at home with their parents for much longer than in the past;

* So why is the plan still assuming a rapid increase in demand for single occupancy households; when the actual demographic trend is away from this? Average age of first house purchase is now 37;

* Is the modelling based on current data, or is it simply looking at the demand during the decade of rapid growth and easy availability of mortgage loans pre the 2008 crash?

* This in turn could mean that in fact far less individual units are required for the District as a whole, but a greater emphasis should be given for multi-generational living, with semi-independent adults?

* The complete rejection of the vast majority of respondents views at the previous consultation and instead deciding on an even higher number- 12300- is both perverse and undemocratic

* The Local Plan does not appear to consider that many potential individuals from outside the area may choose to live at the new town proposed for Gaydon rather than Distribution of housing within the District


Definitions of affordable Housing:

* Suggests that the definition of what is affordable housing needs broadening:

* The plan highlights the need for housing for the elderly and the growth of the elderly as a % of the population.

* One solution to their needs and the obvious trends in semi-independent adults living much longer with their parents would be to classify "granny flats" or semi separated apartments within houses as going towards the "affordable housing" targets.

* Multigenerational living should be encouraged as it meets housing need, is sustainable and reflects changing land-use patterns

* Encourage this by incorporating it into the plan's housing targets and helps meet the need for "mixed" housing.


Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60217

Derbyniwyd: 28/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Sue Lampitt

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Understand that it is difficult to expand as you are required to do by the government but does not understand why Council appears to be planning for a higher number of houses than required by central government on the speculative grounds that it will bring new jobs to the area.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60218

Derbyniwyd: 28/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Elizabeth Trafford

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The number of proposed properties to be built seems excessive. There is empty property both residential and office/industrial and property currently for sale within the Leamington area. All this should be taken into consideration. The housing should be primarily for local people and people working in the area not people moving into the area and commuting to their place of work.

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60230

Derbyniwyd: 27/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Gallagher Estates

Asiant : Pegasus Group

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The recognition that the quantum of development set out in RDS1 is interim (emphasis supplied) only is welcomed.

This is on the basis that the Authority, in proposing 12,300 dwellings, is at risk of under providing for arising need and failing to boost significantly the supply of housing contrary to the provisions of the NPPF.

The Authority must take on board any implications arising out of the Joint SHMA work.

Additional concerns about the interim figure are:

They are based on the 2011 interim sub national population projections. They assume a continuation of the 2010 based projections in fertility, mortality and migration. The 2011 projections indicate that in the period 2011 to 2021 there will be an increase of 625 households per year.

The most recent household projections that go beyond 2021 are the CLG based 2008 based household projections. These projections suggested the need for the provision of 15,500 households over the period 2011 to 2029. This is equivalent to 861 dwellings per annum.

The main reason for the difference between the 2008 and 2011 based projections is that the 2011 based projections show a slower growth in households compared to the 2008 projections. It is not, though, likely that this reduced household formation rate will continue into the future as economic conditions improve, thus beyond 2021 it would be reasonable to assume that household formation rates will increase and there will be an increased growth again beyond 2021.

This is especially the case in a district such as Warwick where the housing market will be more robust than elsewhere in the West Midlands.

The likelihood is therefore that the figure of 625 dwellings per annum, which is predicated on the existing conditions assumed in the 2011 projections continuing, will increase as households begin to form more readily following an improvement in their economic circumstances.

It is also important to recognise that household projections do not equal dwellings required. In order to arrive at a figure for dwellings required there is a need to add an allowance to deal with unmet need or backlog (concealed households and reduction in sharing households), take account of second homes and also add a figure for vacancies.

This accords with the requirement in the NPPF to address the need for all types of housing and also to cater for housing demand.

[In this context], the Warwick District Housing Market Assessment (HMA) of March 2012 is instructive and demonstrates that, as of 2012 there was an unmet net affordable housing need of 1,144 households.

These need to be added to the projection as does a suitable allowance for second homes and vacancies.

When this process is undertaken it is likely to direct the Authority to a figure in excess of the 11,500 new homes proposed at paragraph 4.1.5.

The Authority has also produced other evidence, including the Economic and Demographic Forecasts Study (December 2012) which has identified a need for additional homes ranging from 13,300 and 13,800 between 2011 and 2029.

Policy RDS2 sets out how the proposed interim housing requirement is proposed to be met., and includes a large windfall allowance of 2,800 dwellings.

Remain unconvinced that such a windfall allowance is justified in terms of paragraph 49 of the NPPF and have concerns that the Authority will be unable to demonstrate a supply of 12,300 dwellings if this approach to windfall development is to persist.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Revised Development Strategy

ID sylw: 60261

Derbyniwyd: 25/07/2013

Ymatebydd: Jane Perkin

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The projected housing need of 12,300 new homes to be built is much too high. Less than half that number would meet local needs. It is wrong to forecast as far into the future as 2029, and to allocate greenfield land now.

NPPF requires the approval of 'sustainable development' which meets an established housing need, planning applications already made or imminent for much of the land meet neither of these criteria. A realistic forecast of need would mean that the District already has the required five-year supply of sites, balancing housing with employment growth and matching the housing market.

There are better alternatives: lower housing numbers to meet local needs, especially for houses which people can afford, instead of encouraging in-migration; gradually releasing land for development as demand grows; giving absolute priority to using brownfield and infill sites near schools, shops and railway stations; building homes close to jobs; and co-operating with other local authorities, instead of competing with them for development