Q-H1-1: The HEDNA is proposing that we move away from an approach where future household needs are based on the 2014-based household projections towards a trend-based approach. Do you think that the HEDNA evidence provides a reasonable basis for identifyi
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While the assessment provides an indication of future demands it can only be used as a guide given the number of assumptions regarding future demand. It may be the best method of providing an indication, it shouldn’t be treated as fact. Nationally there is currently an affordability and housing opportunity crisis and this is because demand exceeds supply of housing. Until this is addressed changing the HEDNA will have no material impact for the residents/potential residents of South Warwickshire. Planning applications truly reflect the demand, it naturally indicates that a certain number of homes are needed in a certain location, and HEDNA can only ever be a low-resolution guide.
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New home development should be a local decision made by and for the benefit of the communities that any development will impact.
The plan should be to accommodate the needs assessed on a local basis based on local plans. For instance, one area may require a greater proportion of social houses than another. By imposing a mandatory figure of social housing the real local needs are not always addressed. It is fundamentally wrong to allocate a disproportionate number of houses based on arbitrary factors. For example the allocation of up to 500 houses in the small village of Wootton Wawen is primarily predicated on the presence of a railway station. This is not justifiable. Local commuter railway transport may be a thing of the past and entirely unsuitable for the population of Wootton Wawen.
There are hundreds of empty houses and empty warehouses up and down the country / use money to gentrify them and encourage jobs and new houses there - stop destroying what little green space we have left and overloading small villages with more people more cars less jobs and less facilities
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The need for actual real time up to date data is required. We have left the EU ending free movement so far less Europeans are now coming to settle in the UK. The birth rate is continuing to fall & this will continue. There needs to be massive joined up thinking analysis conducted on the relation of work opportunities & housing stock required, Warwickshire does not need to be importing people from other counties just to buy nice houses around Stratford then have them commute by car back to other city's & towns to work. This goes against the green policy goals of reducing emissions & reducing climate change.
An up to date reassessment is required
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The past 3 years have been unpresidented, so current trends may not continue as we resume pre pandemic lifestyles. The pandemic encouraged a lot to move to more rural areas, like SW, however this may not continue.
Not enough evidence provided herein. Does not take into consideration other issues such as the importance or significance of particular areas e.g. Stratford as a tourist hot-spot due to Shakespeare. Under-estimates the international reputation of Stratford and its importance to the UK-wide tourist industry.
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No one knows, circumstances change all the time. What is important is to keep population increase to a minimum and minimise its impact on the environment, climate change and our quality of life generally. This means keeping development to a minimum.
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Rather than assuming that Warwickshire will need to pick up the estimated housing needs of Coventry, consider development of Coventry brownfield and infill sites. Only when these are exhausted is there an argument to effectively ignore the actual projected housing needs of Warwickshire.
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It is not reasonable to expect any forecasting model to make a useful prediction of housing and economic needs 25 years ahead. Another pandemic? The trend in WFH? Changing retail activity? Town centre evolution? Collapse of JLR? This has the same validity as the original estimate for the cost of HS2 This plan will fundamentally and irreversibly alter the character of South Warwickshire; to do so on evidence such as this is reckless and irresponsible
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