BASE HEADER

DS2 Providing the Homes the District Needs

Yn dangos sylwadau a ffurflenni 1 i 28 o 28

Cefnogi

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 64508

Derbyniwyd: 23/05/2014

Ymatebydd: Warwickshire Fire & Rescue

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The Fire Service strongly recommends an inclusion on the use (as a requirement) of fire sprinklers in residential developments in accordance with the business case submitted.

Cefnogi

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 64681

Derbyniwyd: 09/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Federation of Small Businesses

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The number of jobs created, rather than the size of land allocated is important to FSB. Any employment land allocation should be matched to the location of new housing sites. We need to think about the occupiers and their travel to work patterns. The Warwick District local plan therefore needs to look wider than the sub region; particularly to neighboring authorities such to evaluate the impact of their employment land allocations on the residents and businesses in the district.

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 65513

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Sharba Homes Group

Asiant : PJPlanning

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Nac Ydi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Nac Ydi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

This policy should be more clearly tied into Policies DS4 and DS7, to
clearly set out what the housing needs are for Warwick District, and
how these will be explicitly be delivered within the district. At present,
this policy seems incomplete and almost unnecessary, due to other
policies more clearly being able to translate into development on the
ground whilst considering objectively assessed need.

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 65635

Derbyniwyd: 25/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Mr Ian Lovecy

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Very definite numbers of houses required over a period of 18 years - Calling something an Objectively Assessed Need does not make it any more firm a prediction than an informed guess - and experience elsewhere shows that such estimates can be inaccurate by considerable margins in either direction. Over a period of 18 years the potential changes in demography, ways of working through increased use of telecommunications and policy changes by three Governments make the prediction to the nearest ten houses either cynical or an indicator of naivety

Atodiadau:

Cefnogi

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 65662

Derbyniwyd: 24/06/2014

Ymatebydd: McCarthy & Stone Retirement Lifestyles Ltd

Asiant : The Planning Bureau

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

sub-clause b) the inclusion of wording detailing a requirement for older persons housing is noted and supported.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 65682

Derbyniwyd: 02/07/2014

Ymatebydd: Cllr Bob Dhillon and family

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Nac Ydi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Objects on the following grounds: Population released in the ONS show the 12,900 in the plan are too high and 8800 seems more in line with what is required by the area.
Infrastructure plan are not in place to provide the facilities to accommodate the high numbers stated in the plan
The cost of the infrastructure is under stated and in current climate not achievable.
The High number will have an adverse impact on the historical and medieval town of Warwick.
Air Quality is currently above the EEC limits and the plan will only see a rise such as Asthma and breathing related problems as per the report from WCC Health assessment.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 65711

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: West Midlands HARP Planning Consortium

Asiant : Tetlow King Planning Ltd.

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Concern is expressed over the evidence provided by the Council to meet its objectively assessed housing need. The figure of 268 new affordable houses per year between 2013 and 2031 has been calculated based on an assumed period of 18 years over which the backlog of affordable housing should be met. However the 2012 SHMA identified a need for 698 affordable dwellings per annum in the
District; a figure which is significantly higher than that of the joint SHMA, but which is only one year older. Further concern is that the 2013 Joint SHMA incorporates an assumption of zero migration; this is in contrast to the 2012 SHMA for Warwick which included trend based migration of 460 persons per annum.The zero migration scenario employed in the 2013 SHMA is likely to have underestimated the need for affordable housing.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 65715

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Centaur Homes

Asiant : McLoughlin Planning

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Nac Ydi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Nac Ydi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Centaur Homes object to Policy DS2 in entirety. It is not required as the aims of the policy are within the Framework and the policy does not deviate or go beyond these.

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 65747

Derbyniwyd: 25/06/2014

Ymatebydd: The Leamington Society

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The population projections on which the plan is based are out of date. The 2012 ONS projections show a lower population growth. This is also true for most neighbouring districts with the exception of Coventry. If WDC continue with their plans to build homes, this will mean the homes are built in the wrong place.

Projections in population growth in Coventry are uncertain due to volatile inward migration from abroad. The ONS figures for Coventry represent 1.2% increase per year which implausibly large in comparison with national picture and other cities. This should not therefore be used to justify building homes in Warwick.

The latest ONs projections provide the best basis for the Local Plan, however these demonstrate that the Plan is unsound as they indicate the population is projected to be over 6000 fewer than those on which the Plan is based.
The need for additional homes is sensitive to average household size. The Plan assumes 2.181 by 2029 on the basis that the trend will decrease. However the are conflicting possible trends and this trend is not supported by the 2001 and 2011 census data.
12,860 is therefore an excessive figure and even if the ave. household size is 2.181 this is 2760 more dwellings than are needed.

Atodiadau:

Cefnogi

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 65994

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Richborough Estates Ltd

Asiant : Strutt & Parker

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Strategic Policy DS2 is supported in principle, in particular the Council's ambition to provide in full (emphasis added) for the objectively assessed housing need. It is considered that Strategic Policy DS2 is positively prepared; justified; effective; and consistent with national policy as set in paragraphs 47, 50 and 159 of the Framework.

Cefnogi

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 65998

Derbyniwyd: 26/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Mr H E Johnson

Asiant : Bond Dickinson

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

We support the Council's stated aim to provide in full for the Objectively Assessed Housing Need in accordance with paragraph 47 of the NPPF.

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66008

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Bishop's Tachbrook Parish Council

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Nac Ydi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Ydi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Wish to help devise a sound local plan, but the publication draft is not sound for a number of reasons. The overriding reason is that the housing requirement doesn't take account of mid 2012 population projections. This means the plan is based on outdated data. The 2012 projections show population growth 28.7% less than used for the Joint SHMA. this changes the no. of dwellings required and means less infrastructure investment is needed. This in turn changes the selection of housing sites and allows brownfield sites to be committed before green field sites. This in turn enables a realistic achievable plan to be prepared.

PPG: 2a-003 "Assessing development needs should be proportionate and does not require local councils to consider purely hypothetical future scenarios, only future scenarios that could be reasonably expected to occur." Ensuring there is a supply of sites is necessary with affordable housing. but the Plan also needs to comply with Para 157 of the NPPF. It is also important to keep a balance between jobs and homes.

DTC is also important the JSHMA achieves this, but this needs to be re-examined to address the ONs projections, taking a particular problem with Coventry in to account. The JSHMA indicated a need for 67,536 homes over 18 years across the HMA. The revised projections (based on 2012 ONS) indicate a need for 68,152. However this masks an issue with Coventry's requirement whereby international migration makes up a significant element of the projected increase in Coventry's population. However international students inflow has increased since 2005, but corresponding outflow has not to the same extent (as students are generally resident for 3 years). This indicates that the increase in inflow may be due to international students on courses that are not yet completed. This temporary anomaly is projected forward in the population projections. It does not make sense to provide housing for this population as they won't be there.

If adjustments are made to reflect this, then a worst case scenario for Coventry would be an inflow of 40,000 (instead of 74,000) which is still lower than the JSHMA figure. This in turn would lead to a reduction in the HMA's housing requirement from 68,152 to 51,327.

with this level of housing Warwick District could justify a lower level of housing at the same time as fulfilling the DTC.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66083

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Gleeson Developments

Asiant : Savills (L&P) Ltd

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Ydi

Cadarn? Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Nac Ydi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Strategic Policy DS2 refers to the need to provide in full for the objectively assessed housing need. However, it does not plan for any un met need in the surrounding areas. The Plan goes on to recognise a potential un met need in Coventry and Birmingham. The Strategic Policy should recognise the potential need in this regard.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66180

Derbyniwyd: 25/06/2014

Ymatebydd: CWLEP Planning Business Group

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Heb nodi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

High Employment/housing ratio - This is potentially quite difficult in that it raises long term development issues that could lead to housing choices needing to be made in the future presenting WDC with some very difficult strategic housing land decisions about the whole balance of the development of Warwick/Leamington. This could eventually lead to a need to consider Green Belt releases to the north

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66199

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Mr Trevor Wood

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Heb nodi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

New LP prepared knowing ONS was reviewing population projections and therefore that forecast housing development/5 year land supply may need revisiting. ONS figures indicate forecast housing development can be reduced by 30% and there is a 5 year requisite land supply. WDC should review projections.
Many housing developments have been rushed through by developers/WDC to beat these new figures.
These outline, developments have been approved without adequate consideration to infrastructure. There are no local schools places,GP and NHS capacity, insufficient road infrastructure.
Comments from local residents not taken into account in approving applications.
Concentration of housing is illogical and does not take into account infrastructure and travel restrictions such as bridges to places of work and emergency services.
Alternatives are largely ignored. Recent offer of 5000 house site at Stoneleigh was dismissed without consideration. Other alternatives offered but not considered.
Compliance/adherence to the NPPF has been poor/non existent/selective.
No respect when approving developments next to existing businesses some of which may go out of business due to poorly considered applications.

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66226

Derbyniwyd: 24/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Crest Strategic Projects

Asiant : d2planning

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Nac Ydi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Nac Ydi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

We support this policy in principle which seeks to provide in full the objectively assessed housing need for the District as well as any other housing needs for adjoining Districts etc. However, the Local Plan does not carry through this objective and does not meet its full objectively assessed housing need either for the District or indeed adjoining Districts.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66252

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Lenco Investments

Asiant : RPS Planning & Development

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Heb nodi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

RPS objects to the Council's development strategy proposals set out in Section 2 of the Draft Plan, and principally how they are delivered through Policy DS1 Supporting Prosperity and Policy DS2 Providing the Homes the District Needs.

The Council's proposals are woefully short on the number of homes required and fail to balance the level of housing and jobs provided within the strategy of the plan, or the core Objectives of it.

Policy DS2 logically follows Policy DS1 which sets out that the authority will meet its full objectively assessed needs. RPS supports the general thrust and compatibility of these two policies.

The plan seeks to present a logical relationship between
balancing local housing and employment need, and gives the impression that these are in harmony. Yet Policy DS16 identifies employment land at the Gateway Site of sub-regional significance which is over and above its local employment requirements. RPS's objection is that the plan fails when considering the commensurate level of housing required, as no account of this major sub-regional employment location is taken in respect of the balance between of jobs and homes.

The proposals in the plan fail to provide for the objectively assessed need for housing, but more importantly fail to balance the provision of homes and jobs as advocated by the authority as being a fundamental component of the Plan's strategy and policy framework. It
is therefore ineffective and unjustified.

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66381

Derbyniwyd: 25/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Mr Robert Price

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The calculation of housing numbers is highly speculative and inevitably based on poor quality evidence and data. Another equally competant assessment reached a figure of 5,500 rather than 12,900. Given development pressure for greenfield sites it would be safer to plan for alower figure. This could be revised upwards if need demonstrated during the 15 year period. The recently published ONS projections show a 29% reduction on the revious estimate showing the need for caution.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66416

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Hazel and Robin Fryer

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Nac Ydi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Nac Ydi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

It is claimed that the new housing requirement is the Districts objectively assessed need which is based on the needs of the Coventry and Warwickshire sub-region. No sub-regional plan has been published so the validity of these claims cannot be assessed.
As this is stated to be the basis of the housing need in Warwick District the evidence should be presented to allow community consultation on the officers recommendations for the JSHMA. If areas of Warwickshire are to be given to Coventry to fulfil its building requirements the residents must be presented with proof that Coventry has done everything possible inside its own boundaries. The policy of safeguarding areas of greenspace around Coventry needs to be critically addressed as the purposeof the 2009 green belt review was to find extra land for Coventry and not consider the needs of Warwickshireor adjoining communities. The basis of the calculation for housing development has been undermined by the recently stated aim of Coventry City Council to build housing development on Kings Hill.

Atodiadau:

Cefnogi

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66479

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Friends of the Earth

Nifer y bobl: 4

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Support

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66490

Derbyniwyd: 04/06/2014

Ymatebydd: The Trustees of the F S Johnson 78NEL Settlement

Asiant : Tyler-Parkes Partnership

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Nac Ydi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Nac Ydi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The housing requirement should as a minimum correspond with the full objectively assessed need identified in the Joint SHMA. This represents a need for an additional 100 dwellings over the plan period. The requirement is also likely to increase in response to the legal obligations arising from the duty to cooperate. It is likely that a number of Councils in the housing market area will have a shortfall, other risks may arise from Birmingham. Policy DS20 provides too much 'wriggle room' for the authority to escape its obligations. The policy does not have a timescale for reviewing the plan, instead there should be a committment for doing so within 3 years in order to address the needs of the housing market area.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66498

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Whitnash Town Council

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Nac Ydi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Nac Ydi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

WDC has not considered guidance of NPPF by seeking to approve planning applications for large number of houses prior to adoption circumventing LP before Inspector has considered it.
NPPF has considerations that should protect local people from unfair, unjustified and inconsiderate development. These considerations not considered.
Neighbourhood plans have little scope to influence planning policy because LP takes precedence. NPs should help form LP but unable to do so.
Avoidance of duplicating planning processes for non strategic policies where neighbourhood plan is in preparation has not happened

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66578

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: CPRE WARWICKSHIRE

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Net in-migration fell from a figure of over 2,000 per annum in the years immediately following the millennium to 400 in 2008-9 and net out-migration of 700 in 2009-10. In view of this dramatic change it is not acceptable, as the 2012 SHMAA did, to take the 460 average and simply project it forward over the plan period. There is a real possibility that there will be net out-migration from rather than in-migration to the district over the plan period. The past rate of growth of population and in-migration is unsustainable. the District Council should be planning for a very much lower level of growth in which housing and employment are balanced against environmental objectives.

The SHMAs cannot claim to have been an objective assessment of housing need. The work was commissioned by local authorities and the steering committees were dominated by development interests who have a vested interest in talking up the housing needs figures. Wider interests such as residents' groups and environmental bodies were excluded from the process. WDC have assumed population growth of 17% between 2011 and 2029. This rate of growth would be above that for almost all the SHMA Projection Scenarios, despite the plan period being two years shorter than that of the SHMA. No justification is provided in the Plan for the choice of this figure. Employment forecasts are subject to great uncertainty and cannot be reliably used.

The proposal for 12860 houses is not justified in the text. The Plan is therefore unsound in its provision for housing.

The Plan does jot take account of the latest ONS population projections, which shows a much lower rate of population growth than assumed in the JSHMA. This could suggest a reduction in the housing requirement of about 3700 homes. Further average household has recently stablilised, but the plan assumes continued reductions.

Taking all these factors into account, we consider that the Plan is unsound because its housing provision is based on out-of-date information and on an over-optimistic, inflated view of both employment and population growth prospects.

Atodiadau:

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66717

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Mr. A. Burrows

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Heb nodi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

There are grave concerns about the lack of detail and lack of proper planning for infrastructure needs associated with all the allocated development in the Local Plan.
Many of the schools and roads are already full and sufficient planning and money has not been allocated to resolve the additional pressures that the planned development would bring. Indeed any plans that would solve the problems would in themselves ruin the local area and be completely unsustainable (NPPF requires development to be sustainable).

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66732

Derbyniwyd: 01/07/2014

Ymatebydd: Hatton Parish Council

Nifer y bobl: 53

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The housing numbers are highly speculative and based on poor quality evidence and data. The LPA calculate a need for 12,900 dwellings, while another equally competent assessment reached a figure of 5,500. Given pressure from developers to develop areas of high property value it would be safer to plan for lower figures. This could be revised upward if need were demonstrated. Recent ONS figures show a reduction of 29% on previous estimates showing need for caution in using this data. Insufficient planning for additional infrastructure necessary to support the level of growth, this would be constrained by the historic nature of Warwick and Warwick Hospital. Proposals are not in line with the principles of sustainability.

Atodiadau:

Cefnogi

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66760

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Coventry City Council

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

WDC and CCC worked jointly with its Warwickshire neighbours to
Commission the Coventry and Warwickshire Strategic Housing Market Assessment,
which was completed in November 2013. The Council supports WDC's intention to
accommodate its own objectively assessed needs within its own boundary in accordance with this Joint SHMA.

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 66788

Derbyniwyd: 26/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Gallagher Estates

Asiant : Pegasus Group

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

In light of the statement of intent proffered through Strategic policy DS2 that the full objectively assessed need for housing will be met in the Plan is robust, credible and sound. Policy DS2 is therefore supported as sound. It is laudable that the LPA has produced a joint SHMA however there are concerns about the robustness of the findings and, as a consequence, whether the housing requirement figure contained within the Plan at Policy DS6 (12,860 new dwellings as derived from the SHMA) is sufficient to meet the full, objectively assessed need for housing.

Gwrthwynebu

Publication Draft

ID sylw: 67221

Derbyniwyd: 27/06/2014

Ymatebydd: Bloor Homes Midlands

Asiant : Marrons Planning

Cydymffurfio â’r gyfraith? Heb nodi

Cadarn? Nac Ydi

Dyletswydd i gydweithredu? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

The draft Local Plan has failed to demonstrate:
* it has proactively driven/supported sustainable economic development, and done everything it can to support sustainable economic growth;
* it meets the business needs of the area and delivers homes to support the growth of the local economy;
* it is based on the most up-to-date and robust evidence about the economic prospects and needs of the area; and,
* it integrates the strategic policies for prosperity (Strategic Policies DS1 and DS8) and housing (Strategic Policies DS2 and DS6).
The level of economic growth to be provided for is not defined within the draft Local Plan.
The strategy for prosperity in the draft Local Plan is to provide for the growth of the local and sub-regional economy by ensuring sufficient/appropriate employment land is available to meet the existing/future needs of businesses (Strategic Policy DS1).
Policy DS8 provides for a minimum of 66ha of employment land to meet local need (for the period 2011 to 2030). The strategy for housing is to provide in full the objectively assessed need (Strategic Policy DS2). Policies DS6, DS7 and DS10 provides for 12,860 new homes (for the period 2011 to 2029).
The evidence base fails to support Paragraph 2.7 of the LP that economic growth has been balanced with housing growth, and that meeting the full objectively assessed need for housing will complement and meet the economic and business needs and ambitions of the District.
The evidence can be found within the Economic and Demographic Forecasts Study (EDFS) (December 2012), the Employment Land Review Update (ELR) (May 2013), and its economic ambitions can be found within the Strategic Economic Plan for Coventry & Warwickshire LEP (SEP) (March 2014).
The economic strength of Warwick is undeniable, and is summarised in paragraphs 3.1 to 3.6 of the ELR. Its economy has outperformed the West Midlands and UK in terms of its growth and is forecast to continue that trend (both in terms of GVA and employment) into the plan period. Warwick has an economic structure which is aligned to the future growth sectors, such as professional services, healthcare, and IT.
Warwick also has a particular strength in the automotive/vehicle manufacturing sector, with several major employers including Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) who have facilities located both within and on the edge of the District. Given the significance of JLR to the national economy, it is no surprise that the Vision for Coventry & Warwickshire in 2025 within the SEP is to be recognised as a global hub and a UK Centre of Excellence in the advanced manufacturing and engineering sector. Many of the SEP's priorities and actions are focussed around facilitating the growth of this sector, including investment to deliver new/expanded facilities at several employment sites within and bordering Warwick District. The SEP has estimated its actions alone may generate over 50,000 jobs by 2030 across the sub-region.
It is very clear from the evidence that the Warwick economy is undoubtedly the 'powerhouse' within the sub-region and West Midlands region. Its future economic performance and continued success is therefore critical to the overall performance of the sub-region and regional economy, and the delivery of the ambitions within SEP.
Whilst the availability of suitable employment land is a key factor influencing Warwick's future economic growth and prosperity, it is not the only component that the Local Plan will need to influence.
A key challenges is to ensure that the planned growth of Warwick and the sub-region's economy is not frustrated by lack of access to skilled workforce. To deliver a global hub and national centre of excellence, requires businesses to be able to attract the necessary talent. Providing access to available homes of a high quality is an essential component of the offer. SEP recognises that the shortage of new homes can be a significant barrier to sustainable economic growth.
In this context, it is of concern that the objectively assessed housing need figure chosen by the Council fails to support a growth in labour supply that meets the forecasts for employment growth. The chosen housing figure only supports labour supply growth of 8,996 for the period 2011 to 2031 leaving a shortfall against the forecast of between 1,304 and 1,904 jobs.
This shortfall is likely to be under-estimated as the employment forecasts preceded the publication of the SEP and have not taken account of its potential influence in accelerating the rate of growth of growing sectors within Warwick. Mindful of the growth in housing supply not keeping pace with the economic ambitions for the area, it is noted that the SEP prioritises a review of additional future housing numbers across the sub-region by the end of March 2015 (page 8). The draft Local Plan does state that it has taken account of the SEP, although there is no reference to a review of its housing numbers within the draft Local Plan.
Whilst it is recognised that the shortfall in labour supply growth might be mitigated through people holding down more than one job, or increased in-commuting from outside of the District (as suggested within paragraph 7.28 of the SHMA), it is noted that when recommending the chosen housing figure, the SHMA advised the Council to consider its
alignment with forecast economic growth, and how employment growth will be supported.
It is not clear whether the Council has undertaken this exercise as the draft Local Plan does not explain how the shortfall between growth in labour supply and growth in jobs will be addressed, or what the implications may be. In commuting from outside the District is one possible consequence.
In this context, it is considered that the strategy has not been positively prepared as it has not proactively driven and supported sustainable economic development, or done everything it can to support sustainable economic growth. It does not meet the objectively assessed development requirements as set out in the evidence base, and therefore is not in accordance with the Framework.